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Hurricane Season

Caribbean Region to See 57 Percent Chance of Landfall for Cat. 1-2 Storms, 42 Percent Chance Landfall…

Staff Consortium | February 10, 2020

The Colorado State University Department of Atmospheric Science's Tropical Metereology Project has released what it's calling the "Qualitative Discussion of Atlantic Basin Seasonal Hurricane Activity for 2020", which includes probabilities on what should be expected for the 2020 Hurricane Season. CSU's first quantitative forecast for 2020 will be issued on Thursday, April 2. The qualitative discussion includes a number of highlights, and it hones in on two big questions that will play significant roles in determining the strength of the 2020 Hurricane Season: What will happen with the current warm ENSO (El Niño–Southern Oscillation) neutral state, as well as what trends are likely to occur with the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). El Niño–Southern Oscillation is an irregularly periodic variation in winds and sea surface temperatures…

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