Caribbean Islands Face No Immediate Tropical Threat Despite Several Developing Systems

  • Staff Consortium
  • August 16, 2023
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Latest weather systems currently being monitored in the tropical Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico by the National Hurricane Center.

The National Hurricane Center in its 2:00 a.m. report on Wednesday provided details on three developing systems, none of which currently pose threats to the Caribbean islands.

In the central tropical Atlantic, about 600 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, an elongated trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While the conditions seem favorable for its gradual development, there's a low 20% chance of it turning into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours. Over the week, this chance slightly rises to 40%, as the system is expected to move west or west-northwest at approximately 10 mph.

Meanwhile, off the west coast of Africa, a tropical wave is triggering a vast zone of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is predicted to head west-northwest at about 15 mph. As it reaches near or just west of the Cabo Verde Islands in the next couple of days, a low-pressure area is anticipated to form. The odds of further development of this low-pressure system are pegged at a mere 10% in the upcoming 48 hours and 30% over the week, especially as the environmental conditions are forecasted to turn unfavorable early next week.

In the western Gulf of Mexico, there's potential for a broad low-pressure zone to take shape by the start of next week. However, the immediate 48-hour formation chance for this system is virtually zero. Over a span of seven days, there's a slim 20% likelihood of its development as it gradually moves westward, nearing the western Gulf of Mexico coastline by mid-next week.

In summary, while there are several systems in the early stages of formation, none pose a significant threat to the Caribbean islands at this time. Residents and authorities should continue monitoring updates and remain prepared during this hurricane season.

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