The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has issued a tropical weather outlook indicating that Tropical Wave AL95, also referred to as Invest 95L, is expected to enter the Caribbean Sea early next week. This system is projected to bring deteriorating marine and weather conditions to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands starting late Monday into Tuesday.

According to the latest model guidance, AL95 is currently producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. However, environmental conditions are forecasted to become conducive for development, with a tropical depression or tropical storm likely to form this weekend. The system is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph and is expected to be several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands by the weekend.

The NHC has provided the following formation probabilities for AL95:

• Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium (60 percent)
• Formation chance through 7 days: High (80 percent)

The NHC advised that interests in the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and the USVI should closely monitor the progress of this system. As the situation is dynamic and evolving, the next tropical weather outlook is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. AST. Residents are urged to stay informed and prepared as the system approaches.

Further updates and detailed briefings will be provided daily as the tropical wave progresses.